Sunday, November 20, 2011

Week 11 NFL Picks

Time for my NFL picks once again and just like last week I'm headed into Sunday already 0-1. Last time it was Carson Palmer and the Raiders beating San Diego and this time it was Tim Tebow driving the Broncos 95 yards late in the 4th quarter to defeat the Jets. Who saw that one coming? To be honest I was tempted to pick against New York, but I couldn't bring myself to pick Tebow against the Jets defense. May need to start rethinking how I pick Broncos games. Anyhow, here's the rest of my picks for Week 11:
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Buffalo (5-4) @ Miami (2-7) - Miami is playing better lately, but I still think the Bills are the better team here. Traditionally whatever I say the Bills will do, Buffalo will do the opposite, but I still like them here. Pick: Bills

Cincinnati (6-3) @ Baltimore (6-3) - Is there a team less consistent than Baltimore? Two wins over Pittsburgh, but losses to Jacksonville and Seattle. How do you explain that? And today they're going to be without emotional leader Ray Lewis. Still, I have a tough time picking against them at home. Pick: Ravens

Jacksonville (3-6) @ Cleveland (3-6) - Not a lot of bright spots to this season for the Browns, and I don't see them getting better against Maurice Jones-Drew and the Jags today. Pick: Jaguars

Dallas (5-4) @ Washington (3-6) - The emergence of DeMarco Murray has jumpstarted the Dallas offense and has them looking they might be the best team in the NFC East. Washington meanwhile has fallen apart after a fast start. Pick: Cowboys

Carolina (2-7) @ Detroit (6-3) - The Lions have lost three of four, but the schedule gets easier today as the struggling Panthers come to town. Look for the Lions D-Line to get after Cam Newton and give him problems as the Lions gets back to their winning ways. Pick: Lions

Tampa Bay (4-5) @ Green Bay (9-0) - Rodgers is putting up record numbers this season. Tampa Bay isn't going to change that. Pick: Packers

Oakland (5-4) @ Minnesota (2-7) - No Darren McFadden for Oakland today, but the Raiders are starting to click with Carson Palmer. Adrian Peterson should have a big day for Minnesota, but I don't think it will be enough. Pick: Raiders

Seattle (3-6) @ St. Louis (2-7) - Last year this matchup decided the division. A little less on the line this year. I think Seattle is poised to fall back down to earth after a huge win against the Ravens last week. Pick: Rams

Arizona (3-6) @ San Francisco (8-1) - The Niners are 8-1. Crazy. Should be 9-1 after today as I don't see the Fordham alum John Skelton and the Cardinals offering much resistance. Pick: 49ers

Tennessee (5-4) @ Atlanta (5-4) - No real reason to pick the Titans this week, but I'm going to do it anyways. Maybe Atlanta will go for it on 4th down inside their 30 a few more times today to help me out. Pick: Titans

San Diego (4-5) @ Chicago (6-3) - Gonna break from tradition this week and actually PICK the Bears instead of going against them. The Chargers are having all kinds of problems while the Bears Defense is starting to look formidable once again. Plus, if they continue to keep Cutler's jersey clean, only good things can happen. Pick: Bears

Philadelphia (3-6) @ New York Giants (6-3) - This feels like a trap game. Michael Vick is out which means Vince Young will be quarterbacking the Eagles. He won't have Jeremy Maclin to throw to, but the Eagles still have a lot of weapons on offense. Vince Young is like Tebow in that he always seems to win games. It would not surprise me if the Eagles stole one here, but I'm still taking New York at home. Pick: Giants

Kansas City (4-5) @ New England (6-3) - There's no way Tyler Palko quarterbacks a team that beats New England. Unless Brady's knee gets destroyed (which actually happened against the Chiefs before), there's no way New England loses this game. Pick: Patriots

Last Week: 9-7
Season: 96-50

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1 comment:

  1. 1) Appreciate that you FINALLY picked the Bears.
    2) You did mention one of the keys, as well. As long as Cutler stays upright, he can do damage. This is the second game in a row in which he has not been sacked; I would say today may have been his best game as a Bear.
    3) The two biggest differences in this game were turnovers and 3rd down conversions..and as always, Hester and Knox gave the Bears great field position almost every time.